Comparing Corey Hart To Hunter Pence
Apparently, Corey Hart and his agents from CAA were unable to strike a deal with the Milwaukee Brewers in the final hour before their case went to arbitration. It is expected that we will know which side won today’s hearing tomorrow. The three arbitrators hearing the case are Elizabeth Neumeier, John Sands, and Sylvia Skratek.
Commentator Adam, from the post, Arbitrators May Break Corey Hart, proposed that Hart and his agents use Nate McLouth and Hunter Pence
In 2008, Nate McLouth signed a 1-year deal for $4.25 million. Before the 2009 season, McLouth signed a 3-year deal with an additional 1-year team option [the breakdown is 2009:$2M, 2010:$4.5M, 2011:$6.5M, 2012:$10.65M club option ($1.25M buyout)], so it is difficult to compare that contract to what Corey Hart would like to make in a one-year arbitration deal.
However, Hunter Pence is an interesting person to compare Corey Hart with. This year, Hunter Pence avoided arbitration by signing a 1-year deal worth $3.5 million (Pence offered $4.1 million, Astros offered 3.1 million – large gap).
Pence has historically had a higher batting average than Hart (including 2009).
Pence has had a better on-base percentage than Hart (including 2009).
There’s a large gap between Pence’s and Hart’s slugging percentage in 2009.
Hart strikes out more at the plate.
So Hunter Pence signed a 1-year deal for $3.5 million and Corey Hart wants $4.8 million? Based on the comparisons above, it seems as though Hart should be happy that the arbitrators can’t pick below the Brewers’ offer of $4.15 million. If you are Corey Hart’s agent, what’s your counterargument?
Thanks to FanGraphs for the comparison images.